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Poll results: China Bubble

Current time: 02:09:18 7-Sep-2010
Closing time: 00:00:00 25-Sep-2007
Time remaining: Poll closed

Introduction

Please read our article Incredibubble from 16-Sep-07, and then answer the following questions. For reference, at the start of this poll, the Hang Seng Index stands at 24,898 and the Shanghai Composite Index stands at 5,312.

Questions

1. Are the mainland A-share markets in a bubble?

Answer Responses Share
Yes 343 95.8%
No 15 4.2%
Total 358 100.0%

2. Should the HKMA and PBOC have an exclusive ability to arbitrage by converting H-shares to A-shares and vice versa?

Answer Responses Share
Yes 63 19.0%
No 268 81.0%
Total 331 100.0%

3. Which is the lowest level the Shanghai Composite Index will ever visit again?

Answer Responses Share
5,000 10 2.9%
4,000 21 6.1%
3,000 57 16.4%
2,500 52 15.0%
2,000 80 23.1%
1,500 67 19.3%
1,000 49 14.1%
500 11 3.2%
Total 347 100.0%

4. Which is the lowest level the Hang Seng Index will ever visit again?

Answer Responses Share
24,000 6 1.7%
20,000 40 11.4%
16,000 129 36.6%
14,000 78 22.2%
12,000 51 14.5%
10,000 36 10.2%
8,000 12 3.4%
Total 352 100.0%

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